Pavel Atanasov

11 papers A* 5A 1Journal 4Unranked 1
YearRankTypeTitle / Venue / Authors
2024 A* conf
Full Accuracy Scoring Accelerates the Discovery of Skilled Forecasters.
EC
Pavel Atanasov, Ezra Karger, Philip Tetlock
2024 J jnl
Hybrid Forecasting of Geopolitical Events.
CoRR
Daniel M. Benjamin, Fred Morstatter, Ali E. Abbas, Andrés Abeliuk, Pavel Atanasov, Stephen Bennett, Andreas Beger, Saurabh Birari, David V. Budescu, Michele Catasta, Emilio Ferrara, Lucas Haravitch, Mark Himmelstein, K. S. M. Tozammel Hossain, Yuzhong Huang, Woojeong Jin, Regina Joseph, Jure Leskovec, Akira Matsui, Mehrnoosh Mirtaheri, Xiang Ren, Gleb Satyukov, Rajiv Sethi, Amandeep Singh, Rok Sosic, Mark Steyvers, Pedro A. Szekely, Michael D. Ward, Aram Galstyan
2023 J jnl
Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events
AI Mag.
Daniel M. Benjamin, Fred Morstatter, Ali E. Abbas, Andrés Abeliuk, Pavel Atanasov, Stephen Bennett, Andreas Beger, Saurabh Birari, David V. Budescu, Michele Catasta, Emilio Ferrara, Lucas Haravitch, Mark Himmelstein, K. S. M. Tozammel Hossain, Yuzhong Huang, Woojeong Jin, Regina Joseph, Jure Leskovec, Akira Matsui, Mehrnoosh Mirtaheri, Xiang Ren, Gleb Satyukov, Rajiv Sethi, Amandeep Singh, Rok Sosic, Mark Steyvers, Pedro A. Szekely, Michael D. Ward, Aram Galstyan
2022 A* conf
Crowd Prediction Systems: Markets, Polls, and Elite Forecasters.
EC
Pavel Atanasov, Jens Witkowski, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip Tetlock
2020 A conf
Anchor Attention for Hybrid Crowd Forecasts Aggregation.
AAMAS
Yuzhong Huang, Andrés Abeliuk, Fred Morstatter, Pavel Atanasov, Aram Galstyan
2020 J jnl
Anchor Attention for Hybrid Crowd Forecasts Aggregation.
CoRR
Yuzhong Huang, Andrés Abeliuk, Fred Morstatter, Pavel Atanasov, Aram Galstyan
2020 A* conf
Small Steps to Accuracy: Incremental Belief Updaters Are Better Forecasters.
EC
Pavel Atanasov, Jens Witkowski, Lyle H. Ungar, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip Tetlock
2019 A* conf
SAGE: A Hybrid Geopolitical Event Forecasting System.
IJCAI
Fred Morstatter, Aram Galstyan, Gleb Satyukov, Daniel Benjamin, Andrés Abeliuk, Mehrnoosh Mirtaheri, K. S. M. Tozammel Hossain, Pedro A. Szekely, Emilio Ferrara, Akira Matsui, Mark Steyvers, Stephen Bennett, David V. Budescu, Mark Himmelstein, Michael D. Ward, Andreas Beger, Michele Catasta, Rok Sosic, Jure Leskovec, Pavel Atanasov, Regina Joseph, Rajiv Sethi, Ali E. Abbas
2017 J jnl
Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls.
Manag. Sci.
Pavel Atanasov, Phillip Rescober, Eric Stone, Samuel A. Swift, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Philip Tetlock, Lyle H. Ungar, Barbara A. Mellers
2017 A* conf
Proper Proxy Scoring Rules.
AAAI
Jens Witkowski, Pavel Atanasov, Lyle H. Ungar, Andreas Krause
2013 — conf
The Marketcast Method for Aggregating Prediction Market Forecasts.
SBP
Pavel Atanasov, Phillip Rescober, Eric Stone, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip Tetlock, Lyle H. Ungar