David V. Budescu

30 papers A* 1Misc 1Journal 24Unranked 4
YearRankTypeTitle / Venue / Authors
2024 J jnl
Hybrid Forecasting of Geopolitical Events.
CoRR
Daniel M. Benjamin, Fred Morstatter, Ali E. Abbas, Andrés Abeliuk, Pavel Atanasov, Stephen Bennett, Andreas Beger, Saurabh Birari, David V. Budescu, Michele Catasta, Emilio Ferrara, Lucas Haravitch, Mark Himmelstein, K. S. M. Tozammel Hossain, Yuzhong Huang, Woojeong Jin, Regina Joseph, Jure Leskovec, Akira Matsui, Mehrnoosh Mirtaheri, Xiang Ren, Gleb Satyukov, Rajiv Sethi, Amandeep Singh, Rok Sosic, Mark Steyvers, Pedro A. Szekely, Michael D. Ward, Aram Galstyan
2023 J jnl
Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events
AI Mag.
Daniel M. Benjamin, Fred Morstatter, Ali E. Abbas, Andrés Abeliuk, Pavel Atanasov, Stephen Bennett, Andreas Beger, Saurabh Birari, David V. Budescu, Michele Catasta, Emilio Ferrara, Lucas Haravitch, Mark Himmelstein, K. S. M. Tozammel Hossain, Yuzhong Huang, Woojeong Jin, Regina Joseph, Jure Leskovec, Akira Matsui, Mehrnoosh Mirtaheri, Xiang Ren, Gleb Satyukov, Rajiv Sethi, Amandeep Singh, Rok Sosic, Mark Steyvers, Pedro A. Szekely, Michael D. Ward, Aram Galstyan
2019 J jnl
Improving Accuracy by Coherence Weighting of Direct and Ratio Probability Judgments.
Decis. Anal.
Yuyu Fan, David V. Budescu, David R. Mandel, Mark Himmelstein
2019 A* conf
SAGE: A Hybrid Geopolitical Event Forecasting System.
IJCAI
Fred Morstatter, Aram Galstyan, Gleb Satyukov, Daniel Benjamin, Andrés Abeliuk, Mehrnoosh Mirtaheri, K. S. M. Tozammel Hossain, Pedro A. Szekely, Emilio Ferrara, Akira Matsui, Mark Steyvers, Stephen Bennett, David V. Budescu, Mark Himmelstein, Michael D. Ward, Andreas Beger, Michele Catasta, Rok Sosic, Jure Leskovec, Pavel Atanasov, Regina Joseph, Rajiv Sethi, Ali E. Abbas
2016 J jnl
Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses.
Decis. Anal.
Eva Chen, David V. Budescu, Shrinidhi K. Lakshmikanth, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock
2015 J jnl
Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds.
Manag. Sci.
David V. Budescu, Eva Chen
2015 J jnl
The Composition of Optimally Wise Crowds.
Decis. Anal.
Clintin P. Davis-Stober, David V. Budescu, Stephen B. Broomell, Jason Dana
2014 J jnl
Forecast aggregation via recalibration.
Mach. Learn.
Brandon M. Turner, Mark Steyvers, Edgar C. Merkle, David V. Budescu, Thomas S. Wallsten
2014 J jnl
When is a crowd wise?
CoRR
Clintin P. Davis-Stober, David V. Budescu, Jason Dana, Stephen B. Broomell
2013 J jnl
Teams Make You Smarter: How Exposure to Teams Improves Individual Decisions in Probability and Reasoning Tasks.
Manag. Sci.
Boris Maciejovsky, Matthias Sutter, David V. Budescu, Patrick Bernau
2012 J jnl
From the Editors - Brainstorming, Multiplicative Utilities, Partial Information on Probabilities or Outcomes, and Regulatory Focus.
Decis. Anal.
L. Robin Keller, Ali E. Abbas, J. Eric Bickel, Vicki M. Bier, David V. Budescu, John C. Butler, Enrico Diecidue, Robin L. Dillon-Merrill, Raimo P. Hämäläinen, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Jason R. W. Merrick, Jay R. Simon, George Wu
2012 J jnl
Never say "not": Impact of negative wording in probability phrases on imprecise probability judgments.
Int. J. Approx. Reason.
Michael Smithson, David V. Budescu, Stephen B. Broomell, Han-Hui Por
2012 — conf
The Aggregative Contingent Estimation System: Selecting, Rewarding, and Training Experts in a Wisdom of Crowds Approach to Forecasting.
AAAI Spring Symposium: Wisdom of the Crowd
Dirk B. Warnaar, Edgar C. Merkle, Mark Steyvers, Thomas S. Wallsten, Eric R. Stone, David V. Budescu, J. Frank Yates, Winston R. Sieck, Hal R. Arkes, Chris F. Argenta, Youngwon Shin, Jennifer N. Carter
2011 J jnl
From the Editors - Probability Scoring Rules, Ambiguity, Multiattribute Terrorist Utility, and Sensitivity Analysis.
Decis. Anal.
L. Robin Keller, Ali E. Abbas, J. Eric Bickel, Vicki M. Bier, David V. Budescu, John C. Butler, Philippe Delquié, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Jason R. W. Merrick, Ahti Salo, George Wu
2010 J jnl
Assessing Joint Distributions with Isoprobability Contours.
Manag. Sci.
Ali E. Abbas, David V. Budescu, Yuhong (Rola) Gu
2010 J jnl
From the Editors...
Decis. Anal.
L. Robin Keller, Ali E. Abbas, Manel Baucells, Vicki M. Bier, David V. Budescu, John C. Butler, Philippe Delquié, Jason R. W. Merrick, Ahti Salo, George Wu
2009 J jnl
Research Note - The Researcher as a Consumer of Scientific Publications: How Do Name-Ordering Conventions Affect Inferences About Contribution Credits?
Mark. Sci.
Boris Maciejovsky, David V. Budescu, Dan Ariely
2008 J jnl
A Comparison of Two Probability Encoding Methods: Fixed Probability vs. Fixed Variable Values.
Decis. Anal.
Ali E. Abbas, David V. Budescu, Hsiu-Ting Yu, Ryan Haggerty
2007 J jnl
Coherence and Consistency of Investors' Probability Judgments.
Manag. Sci.
David V. Budescu, Ning Du
2006 J jnl
The Sensitivity of Probability Assessments to Time Units and Performer Characteristics.
Decis. Anal.
Eldad Yechiam, David V. Budescu
2006 J jnl
To Bayes or Not to Bayes? A Comparison of Two Classes of Models of Information Aggregation.
Decis. Anal.
David V. Budescu, Hsiu-Ting Yu
2005 J jnl
The Effect of Payoff Feedback and Information Pooling on Reasoning Errors: Evidence from Experimental Markets.
Manag. Sci.
David V. Budescu, Boris Maciejovsky
2005 J jnl
The Effects of Imprecise Probabilities and Outcomes in Evaluating Investment Options.
Manag. Sci.
Ning Du, David V. Budescu
2003 — conf
Inter-Personal Communication of Precise and Imprecise Subjective Probabilities.
ISIPTA
David V. Budescu, Tzur M. Karelitz
2002 Misc conf
Toward a Universal Translator of Verbal Probabilities.
FLAIRS
Tzur M. Karelitz, Mandeep K. Dhami, David V. Budescu, Thomas S. Wallsten
1999 — conf
Aggregation of Expert Opinions.
HICSS
Adrian K. Rantilla, David V. Budescu
1999 — conf
Modeling Ellsberg's Paradox in Vague-Vague Cases.
ISIPTA
Karen M. Kramer, David V. Budescu
1995 J jnl
A review of human linguistic probability processing: General principles and empirical evidence.
Knowl. Eng. Rev.
Thomas S. Wallsten, David V. Budescu
1990 J jnl
Integration of Linguistic Probabilities.
Int. J. Man Mach. Stud.
David V. Budescu, Rami Zwick, Thomas S. Wallsten, Ido Erev
1987 J jnl
Measures of similarity among fuzzy concepts: A comparative analysis.
Int. J. Approx. Reason.
Rami Zwick, Edward Carlstein, David V. Budescu